Don’t Bet on the Home Team

Do you have a favorite professional sports team you follow? Do you go to every home game with enthusiasm? Do you spend countless hours reading the local sports section and listening to local sports talk radio? Do you think you know more about the team than anyone on the planet? Do you always select them to win when you are handicapping games for the week? Do you think you’re winning more bets? Do you think this gives you a betting edge? Probably not; betting on your favorite local team could be costing you a small fortune every season.

Spending too much time on your favorite team is okay if you’re a die-hard fan, but not okay if you’re seriously trying to handicap sporting events, trying to make good decisions and trying to make a profit while wagering. If you’re only betting to keep things interesting, like many sports fans out there, then you’re not betting to win. Your so called sure bets will only let you down. Here’s your problem. Local sports media outlets are notoriously known for hype and always offer equal talk time concerning a home team; meaning a team may have very unfavorable odds for a possible win that week, but sports casters will play a 50/50 game with the listener.

agen sbobet 5rb When a key disadvantage of a team is stated by one sports caster, the other sports caster in the room gives a sometimes far fetched reason while the home team will be able to overcome that disadvantage. It’s a 50/50 conversation that can go on for hours. After listening to a complete broadcast the listener tends to believe a very mismatched home team is stronger than they really are or at least have 50/50 chance on winning which might not be true. Local sports reporters do the same in the sports section.

Attending home games makes this false reality worse. It’s too easy to get pumped up by all the team and stadium hoopla. Even if your team is performing dismal during the season, the announcer will still scream with emotion every players name as they run out onto the field. Professional sports is a business so they promote their team as winners even when they are not and “their always on the upswing” even after losing several games.

If you want to be a serious handicapper you have to turn down the noise. That’s why most of the best handicappers are found in Las Vegas. There are no local teams and all sports information and news is highly scrutinized and analyzed. It’s all business in Las Vegas because there’s real money on the line and handicapper reputations to be protected. So don’t be a “Homer” and bet on your home team to always win.